The 2020 elections will present an inflection point in American history. Inequality is prevalent
in political leadership, where women and the younger generation are overwhelmingly underrepresented.
As of January 2019, women will account for 25% of the House of Representatives,
even though they make up 50% of the population. The MI Generation, defined as those born between 1980 and 2018, which is 150 million strong, has less than 8% House members in the 116th Congress. Their power will continue to grow as more of them become eligible to vote in the coming decades.
One can argue that America is governed by rich, old white men. This does not mean that they are all bad people, but the fact remains that their policies have mortgaged the next generation’s future. They have
added $22 trillion dollars to the national debt with no plans to pay for it. Student loans, climate change, and healthcare costs further add to that bleak picture. Despite the lowest unemployment rate and a record stock market, the country’s budget deficit is projected to reach over $1 trillion every year through 2050.
It is very likely that the economic growth will slow down significantly in 2020. Initial signs of the
slow down are reflected in estimated 12,000 retail store closures in 2019. This will result in
thousands of job losses and cause a downward ripple effect on the economy in 2020. In this
scenario, the American public will be so disillusioned with politicians that they will be ready to
vote out the establishment candidates.
There is, however, a silver lining which lies on the MI Generation, who will make up 32% of the
eligible voters in 2020. By 2020 and beyond, they will represent the largest and most powerful
voting bloc in the United States. Almost all major laws over the last couple of decades have been
passed by the party in power in Congress and/or in The White House. It used to be that 60% of
members of the House of Representatives would vote along the party line in the 1970s, but it is
closer to 90% by 2019. If this trend continues, then, as little as 10% of the votes can determine
the outcome of any laws offered in the House of Representatives.
As one of the three co-equal branches of the United States Federal Government, the executive
branch appears to run the country through executive orders or tweets. The judiciary, as a second
branch, is being politicized where a good percentage of the American public votes for the
President, who then will nominate judges based on his/her ideology. One cannot underestimate
President Trump’s marketing power that may gain him a second term. That leaves the House of
Representatives and the Senate, as part of the third co-equal branch, to effectuate any
meaningful changes in Washington.
A super majority in the House of Representatives offers the best opportunity in 2020 to transform Congress so that it lives up to its obligation of making laws and keeping a check on the executive branch. Having 50 new members of Congress from the younger generation will help put a stop to the current policies of robbing the future generation. The Senate has 34 seats up for election in 2020, which includes 22 seats held by Republicans. Republicans hold an 8-seat majority over Democrats after the 2018 elections.